From 227694 turns with total weight 227694 and avg. Elo 2241.82 versus 2241.07, move indices first: Weighted Elo averages: PTM 2241.82, Oppts. 2241.07, White 2239.62, Black 2243.28 Average time used 179.41 and avg. time left 2579.05(of wt. 2579.05) in positions of avg. UEvalEntropy 2.34 i mDelta SwNotDD SwingDD SwRel ProjVal Sigma Actual Proj% Actual% 2sigma range z-score BrierSc LikelySc 1 0.00 0.0000 0.0211 0.0000 108932.01 211.70: 108932.00 47.84%: 47.84% 47.66%--48.03%, z =-0.00 -12.126 -12.874 2 0.32 -0.0427 0.0106 -0.0105 39884.28 172.38: 40994.00 17.52%: 18.00% 17.37%--17.67%, z =+6.44 10.530 11.033 3 0.51 -0.0657 0.0059 -0.0152 20680.70 132.46: 21537.00 9.08%: 9.46% 8.97%-- 9.20%, z =+6.46 8.161 13.546 4 0.64 -0.0815 0.0025 -0.0185 13157.86 108.43: 13474.00 5.78%: 5.92% 5.68%-- 5.87%, z =+2.92 3.742 17.265 5 0.75 -0.0903 0.0005 -0.0205 9200.70 91.97: 9232.00 4.04%: 4.05% 3.96%-- 4.12%, z =+0.34 0.850 12.336 6 0.84 -0.1005 -0.0017 -0.0227 6878.62 80.18: 6773.00 3.02%: 2.97% 2.95%-- 3.09%, z =-1.32 -0.884 9.014 7 0.92 -0.1087 -0.0033 -0.0243 5325.45 70.96: 5003.00 2.34%: 2.20% 2.28%-- 2.40%, z =-4.54 -3.925 4.741 8 0.99 -0.1175 -0.0053 -0.0262 4278.91 63.86: 3926.00 1.88%: 1.72% 1.82%-- 1.94%, z =-5.53 -5.214 1.982 9 1.06 -0.1278 -0.0073 -0.0282 3472.55 57.71: 3061.00 1.53%: 1.34% 1.47%-- 1.58%, z =-7.13 -6.664 0.796 10 1.12 -0.1373 -0.0088 -0.0297 2852.24 52.43: 2576.00 1.25%: 1.13% 1.21%-- 1.30%, z =-5.27 -4.710 1.846 11 1.18 -0.1460 -0.0104 -0.0312 2356.31 47.75: 2048.00 1.03%: 0.90% 0.99%-- 1.08%, z =-6.46 -5.925 -0.232 12 1.24 -0.1555 -0.0120 -0.0329 1950.73 43.52: 1631.00 0.86%: 0.72% 0.82%-- 0.89%, z =-7.35 -6.896 -1.006 13 1.30 -0.1622 -0.0134 -0.0343 1622.74 39.74: 1390.00 0.71%: 0.61% 0.68%-- 0.75%, z =-5.86 -5.356 0.094 14 1.36 -0.1702 -0.0146 -0.0353 1343.32 36.20: 1171.00 0.59%: 0.51% 0.56%-- 0.62%, z =-4.76 -4.240 1.657 15 1.42 -0.1756 -0.0157 -0.0364 1106.91 32.92: 894.00 0.49%: 0.39% 0.46%-- 0.52%, z =-6.47 -6.111 -1.262 Index fits, x10,000: 0.007385, wtd. 0.007385, diff 1.664e-11; mass 0.1663, wtd. 0.1663; diff 1.664e-11 LogSumPlayedMoves: 2.464; LogSumPlayedMovesBinary: 0.8161; PlogpSumPlayedMoves: 0.3521; Entropy sum: 2.278 Name ProjVal St.Dev Actual; Proj% Actual% 2sigma range z-score BrierSc LikelySc AvgScaledDiffW 30500.250 138.250: 30500.228 0.1340: 0.1340 0.1327--0.1352, z = +0.00, adj +0.00 0.079 0.000 ExpectationLossW 7419.515 30.787: 7479.346 0.0326: 0.0328 0.0323--0.0329, z = -1.94, adj -1.72 0.004 0.000 MoveMatchWtd 108932.007 211.697: 108932.000 47.84%: 47.84% 47.66%--48.03%, z = -0.00, adj -0.00 0.192 0.000 EqValueMatchW[4] 117591.557 209.896: 117363.000 51.64%: 51.54% 51.46%--51.83%, z = -1.09, adj -0.94 0.190 0.000 Combined: adj -0.34 Prediction Tests: LikelihoodWtd 422392.40 931.87: 442287.58 0.0000: 1.9425 0.0000--0.0000, z = +21.35 0.000 0.000 BrierDefectiveWtd 89760.13 170.97: 89537.00 0.0000: 0.3932 0.0000--0.0000, z = -1.31 0.000 0.000 CombinedScoreWtd 89760.13 170.97: 89537.00 0.0000: 0.3932 0.0000--0.0000, z = -1.31 0.000 0.000 LikelihoodMultiWtd 580173.33 925.61: 600491.07 0.0000: 2.6373 0.0000--0.0000, z = +21.95 0.000 0.000 BrierMultiWtd 102338.80 169.74: 102206.87 0.0000: 0.4489 0.0000--0.0000, z = -0.78 0.000 0.000 CombMultiWtd 102338.80 169.74: 102206.87 0.0000: 0.4489 0.0000--0.0000, z = -0.78, adj -0.61 0.000 0.000 PlayedMoveMatchW 81345.05 184.41: 227694.00 35.73%:100.00% 35.56%--35.89%, z = +793.60 0.493 0.000 ProjectionHitsW 114230.34 217.36: 115767.00 50.17%: 50.84% 49.98%--50.36%, z = +7.07, adj +5.79 0.207 0.000 Proj1 (181726.00) 99930.89 194.96: 100220.00 54.99%: 55.15% 54.78%--55.20%, z = +1.48, adj +1.29 0.204 0.000 Proj2 (29111.00) 10155.51 78.93: 10448.00 34.89%: 35.89% 34.34%--35.43%, z = +3.71, adj +3.22 0.221 0.000 Proj3 (9281.00) 2543.90 42.19: 2753.00 27.41%: 29.66% 26.50%--28.32%, z = +4.96, adj +4.31 0.204 0.000 Proj4 (3677.00) 865.92 25.36: 1014.00 23.55%: 27.58% 22.17%--24.93%, z = +5.84, adj +5.08 0.199 0.000 Proj5 (1670.00) 347.09 16.38: 412.00 20.78%: 24.67% 18.82%--22.75%, z = +3.96, adj +3.44 0.184 0.000 Proj6 (923.00) 177.36 11.84: 223.00 19.22%: 24.16% 16.65%--21.78%, z = +3.85, adj +3.35 0.184 0.000 Proj7+(1306.00) 209.68 13.11: 697.00 16.05%: 53.37% 14.05%--18.06%, z = +37.18, adj +32.33 0.396 0.000 Name ProjVal St.Dev Actual; Proj% Actual% 2sigma range z-score Top2Wtd 148816.29 200.70: 149926.00 65.36%: 65.85% 65.18%--65.53%, z = +5.53, adj +4.57 Top3Wtd 169496.99 185.73: 171463.00 74.44%: 75.30% 74.28%--74.60%, z = +10.59, adj +8.75 Top3thr0.50Wtd 158560.11 201.99: 160286.00 69.64%: 70.40% 69.46%--69.81%, z = +8.54, adj +7.06 Match-T2Wtd 69047.72 329.82: 67938.00 30.32%: 29.84% 30.04%--30.61%, z = -3.36, adj -2.78 Match-T3Wtd 48367.02 366.41: 46401.00 21.24%: 20.38% 20.92%--21.56%, z = -5.37, adj -4.43 Selection Test ProjVal St.Dev Actual; Proj% Actual% 2sigma range z-score BrierSc LikelySc Delta01-10 10989.77 80.75: 11028.00 4.83%: 4.84% 4.76%-- 4.90%, z = -0.47, engm% = 0.00 3.497 3.496 Delta11-30 16988.17 102.62: 17047.00 7.46%: 7.49% 7.37%-- 7.55%, z = -0.57, engm% = 0.00 4.516 5.760 Delta31-70 14804.37 102.63: 14518.00 6.50%: 6.38% 6.41%-- 6.59%, z = +2.79, engm% = 0.00 1.423 5.247 Delta71-150 7665.72 78.28: 8092.00 3.37%: 3.55% 3.30%-- 3.44%, z = -5.45, engm% = 0.00 11.150 21.975 Error025 30830.74 137.62: 31377.00 13.54%: 13.78% 13.42%--13.66%, z = -3.97, engm% = 0.00 5.510 17.466 Error050 17720.74 112.87: 18452.00 7.78%: 8.10% 7.68%-- 7.88%, z = -6.48, engm% = 0.00 12.518 29.025 Error100 7662.06 78.00: 8363.00 3.37%: 3.67% 3.30%-- 3.43%, z = -8.99, engm% = 0.00 17.539 44.959 Error200 2864.42 49.14: 3113.00 1.26%: 1.37% 1.21%-- 1.30%, z = -5.06, engm% = 0.00 11.334 47.517 Error400 1210.24 32.48: 1069.00 0.53%: 0.47% 0.50%-- 0.56%, z = +4.35, engm% = 0.00 0.012 38.523 EvalGoesToZero 26991.42 90.30: 26016.00 11.85%: 11.43% 11.77%--11.93%, z = -10.80, engm% = 11.78 11.033 29.490 PawnMove 53233.09 156.88: 52164.00 23.38%: 22.91% 23.24%--23.52%, z = -6.81, engm% = 25.29 5.238 15.744 KnightMove 33307.26 122.01: 38332.00 14.63%: 16.83% 14.52%--14.74%, z = +41.18, engm% = 16.09 39.886 45.726 BishopMove 34999.58 125.63: 36164.00 15.37%: 15.88% 15.26%--15.48%, z = +9.27, engm% = 15.38 7.271 10.464 RookMove 48967.11 145.03: 46260.00 21.51%: 20.32% 21.38%--21.63%, z = -18.67, engm% = 19.93 -13.567 -9.792 QueenMove 32967.20 117.05: 31215.00 14.48%: 13.71% 14.38%--14.58%, z = -14.97, engm% = 13.53 -5.785 -1.147 KingMove 24219.75 107.13: 23559.00 10.64%: 10.35% 10.54%--10.73%, z = -6.17, engm% = 9.78 -5.687 -2.076 Castling 2477.51 39.34: 3823.00 1.09%: 1.68% 1.05%-- 1.12%, z = +34.20, engm% = 1.41 37.725 37.401 Capture 43116.36 107.59: 52511.00 18.94%: 23.06% 18.84%--19.03%, z = +87.32, engm% = 22.53 32.762 58.839 NonCapture 184577.64 107.59: 175183.00 81.06%: 76.94% 80.97%--81.16%, z = -87.32, engm% = 77.47 32.762 59.018 Promotion 88.05 5.46: 71.00 0.04%: 0.03% 0.03%-- 0.04%, z = -3.12, engm% = 0.03 -1.340 2.530 AdvancingMove 136788.01 180.21: 146808.00 60.08%: 64.48% 59.92%--60.23%, z = +55.60, engm% = 64.37 -5.986 0.186 RetreatingMove 43558.61 143.50: 37341.00 19.13%: 16.40% 19.00%--19.26%, z = -43.33, engm% = 16.94 -23.701 -16.889 SidewaysMove 47347.38 154.88: 43545.00 20.79%: 19.12% 20.66%--20.93%, z = -24.55, engm% = 18.70 -13.583 -7.497 CheckingMove 8307.24 60.69: 9669.00 3.65%: 4.25% 3.60%-- 3.70%, z = +22.44, engm% = 4.27 24.344 43.153 EngineMove 108932.01 211.70: 108937.00 47.84%: 47.84% 47.66%--48.03%, z = +0.02, engm% = 100.00 -12.084 -12.795 PlayedMove 81343.34 184.41: 227694.00 35.72%:100.00% 35.56%--35.89%, z = +793.61, engm% = 47.84 879.498 1227.459 SamePieceAsPrevMov 5334.58 43.50: 6255.00 2.34%: 2.75% 2.30%-- 2.38%, z = +21.16, engm% = 2.68 1.997 9.854 EqualTopMove 119689.15 207.61: 118620.00 52.57%: 52.10% 52.38%--52.75%, z = -5.15, engm% = 100.00 -9.705 -1.393 UnscaledFalloffW 72151.841 490.078: 70276.827 0.3169: 0.3086 0.3126--0.3212, z = +3.83, adj +3.54 0.945 0.000 ----------